Skip to content

Estonia: Small Country, Powerful Influence

August 31, 2017
by

Currently, Estonia is center stage for the ongoing NATO exercise Operation Atlantic Resolve. Due to Russia’s aggression in Ukraine, many NATO countries, particularly those Untitled.pngwho share a border with Russia or that are nearby, were fearful of possible Russian aggression into their territory. To ease these fears, Operation Atlantic Resolve is geographically conducted in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria. These exercises are intended to send a clear message to Russia as well as to reassure these concerned countries. The operation consists of numerous exercises designed to promote partnership between US and NATO troops in a wide range of environments. The operation also gives US forces the opportunity to learn about customs, politics, and other valuable knowledge about the region.

For a country roughly 217 times smaller than the United States and with approximately 323 less million people, Estonia sure pulls its weight when it comes to meeting the 2% graph-1GDP defense spending requirement agreed to by NATO members. In fact, this small country is one of only five countries that are currently meeting this requirement. While this might surprise some, Estonia has long had a history of being the workhorse in many aspects of European Security against Russian aggression.

In a recent visit to Indiana University, Estonian Prime Minister Juri Ratas expressed Estonia’s willingness to have a productive dialogue with Russia. However, Prime Minister Ratas was quick to admit that dialogue with Russia has been increasingly op3c4421-2more challenging after the annexation of Crimea. Prime Minister Ratas also advocated for a unified European and US voice when dealing with Russia, which may be challenging under the current US administration who has sung high praises for Putin and who has questioned NATO members for not contributing their fair share of the defense spending.

“EU relations with Russia is another widely discussed topic. It is quite often on the table in my meetings with different state leaders and also frequently asked about by journalists. Russia is our neighbour and naturally we would wish to have good relations based on the same values and principles. Unfortunately Russia has shown over the years by attacking independent states such as Georgia and Ukraine that it does not follow the principles of international law nor respect the norms and principles that it committed itself to in the early post-Soviet era.

Therefore, dialogue with Russia is only possible in limited areas with clear understanding of our interests and values. We, be it the EU or the United States, should convey a common message when we engage in bilateral contacts with Russia.”

Regardless of the productivity of any potenital discussions with Russia and the current US administration, Estonia plays a vital role in European Security and will for the foreseeable future.

Advertisements

Barcelona Attack: Will it Have a Larger Impact on the Spanish and European Political Climates?

August 24, 2017
by
Rajoy Puigdemont 2

Photo credit: Andreu Dalmau (EFE)

Although the immediate aftermath of the August 17 terrorist attacks in and near Barcelona has witnessed an outpour of displays of unity in support of the victims, it is not altogether clear how long that climate of unity will last. It is easily predictable that many among the growing number of Europe’s populist right-wing politicians will loudly voice their concern about the presence of Muslim communities across the continent and about the alleged incapacity of the EU to deal with the influx of foreigners. For one, Nigel Farage (the euroskeptic former leader of UKIP who spearheaded the Brexit campaign) has already come out with accusations that EU leaders are endangering their citizens and are partly responsible for the attacks. Naturally, it is in these times of crisis that the resilience of European institutions is most severely tested, but at least so far the Union has withstood the majority of attacks against its core principles of integration and inclusiveness, as the post-Brexit electoral defeats of the far-right in France (which has experienced the largest numbers of casualties during the recent wave of terrorism) and elsewhere shows. Nevertheless, it is hard to tell whether the increasing prevalence of the terrorist threat will ultimately take its toll in the continent, and thwart features as fundamental to European integration as the freedom of movement.

Similarly, the Barcelona attack is likely to generate further backlash against the admission of refugees into the EU, although in the coming days it will be important to keep in mind that the attackers, while of Moroccan descent, had been long settled in Spain and were seemingly well integrated into Spanish society. Therefore, this latest attack bears little relationship with the refugee crisis. But despite the presence of similar facts surrounding prior acts of terrorism in Europe, refugees remain a frequent target of exclusionary rhetoric. This summer, for example, the EU was forced to take legal action against three of its member states (the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland) based on their refusal to harbor asylum seekers as required by a 2015 agreement. The leaders of these nations have cited security concerns in refusing to comply with their allocation quota. And such concerns (whether real or invoked for purely opportunistic reasons) are likely to increase now that Spain, a third principal avenue (besides Greece and Italy) of North African immigration into Europe and a country usually seen as among the most efficient in thwarting terrorist plots, has been unable to prevent an attack in one of its main cities.

Notably, one country that has not experienced the all-too-common surge of far-right rhetoric into the political mainstream has been precisely Spain, and it does not seem likely that such rhetoric will find its way in now that the country is beginning to see the end of the economic crisis that hit it so hard in 2008. But Spanish politics are facing conflicts of their own, and these conflicts have much to do with Barcelona. Indeed, Barcelona is the capital city of Catalonia, a region currently undergoing a debate on secessionism that has brought it to a point of seemingly unsolvable crisis with the Spanish government. In a rare show of unity, the leaders of the national and regional governments (Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy and President Carles Puigdemont, respectively) stood together, along with King Felipe VI, in commemoration of the victims of the attack. Moreover, both leaders have for the most part refrained from explicitly making use of the attacks for political purposes.

The truce, however, is not likely to last. Newspapers and some political figures are already using the tragedy to attack the opposing side. Thus, for example, the main national newspaper, El País, published an editorial arguing that the attacks highlight the misplaced priorities of the Catalan government, which according to the piece should focus on the needs and security of its citizens instead of concentrating exclusively on the “chimera” of independence. Conversely, others have claimed that the attacks would not have happened in an independent Catalonia, and that the response of the local authorities demonstrates the capacity of the region to function as a separate state. And all this is taking place as Catalonia gets ready for an informal referendum on secession that the Spanish government considers illegal. Whether the terrorist incident will have an impact on secessionist sympathies is yet to be seen, but at least for the time being, it is essential that all sides maintain an attitude of respect regarding the events in Barcelona and refrain from unduly using the tragedy to generate discord or gain a political advantage.

Sources

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/paddy-woodworth-barcelona-attack-exposes-spain-s-fault-line-1.3190989

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-40990947

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/08/catalonias-fight-for-independence-is-turning-nasty/

http://www.politico.eu/article/barcelona-terror-attacks-lead-to-unity-for-now-catalonia-independence-carles-puigdemont-mariano-rajoy/

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/843329/barcelona-attack-European-Union-terror-Nigel-Farage-Brussels

https://www.ft.com/content/4439ac8e-8335-11e7-94e2-c5b903247afd

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-poland-idUSKCN1B32IB

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/20/the-guardian-view-on-barcelona-solidarity-goes-beyond-victims

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/19/world/europe/barcelona-cambrils-catalonia-spain-terrorist-attack.html

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/after-barcelona-what-future-schengen-agreement-1636196

Terrorist Attack in Sweden

April 12, 2017
by

Last week, Sweden experienced its worse terrorist attack in years as a man drove a large delivery truck through a department store, killing four, including an 11-year old girl, and wounding 15 others.

 

After investigating the motive behind this attack, it was determined that 39 years old, Uzbek, Rakhmat Akilov was the prime suspect in the case.   Rakhmat Akilov was denied asylum in December of 2016 and was given four weeks to leave the country. It was known to police that Rakhmat Akilov was still in Sweden. However, he was doing everything he could to elude the law enforcement officials. Rakhmat Akilov is not the only asylum-seeker currently evading police. Swedish law enforcement estimates that there are approximately 12,000 denied asylum-seekers throughout Sweden who have gone on the run and have remained in the country.

Sweden, like many European countries, has experienced an influx in asylum-seekers and refugees throughout the past few years. In fact, in 2015 Sweden received a record number of asylum-seekers, which numbered around 160,000. In an attempt to reduce this number, Sweden tightened border security and reduced the number of asylum seekers and refugees permitted in the country.

A recent PEW research study shows just how much of an influx in asylum seekers there really is throughout Europe from 1985 to 2015. Sweden is currently the third most popular destination for asylum-seekers, behind Germany and Hungary. Furthermore, the amount of asylum-seeking individuals doubled in size between 2014 and 2015, leaving the Swedish government to scramble for a policy and solution to this massive increase.

Screen Shot 2017-04-11 at 9.04.42 AM.png

Screen Shot 2017-04-11 at 9.04.31 AM.png

Screen Shot 2017-04-11 at 9.04.16 AM.png

On Monday over 20,000 people flooded Stockholm’s central square to show support for the victim’s families and to show unity against atrocities such as this.

11Sweden-master768.jpg

On Tuesday, Rakhmat Akilov confessed to the terrorist attack and is awaiting trial.

Sources: 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-39564825https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/10/world/europe/sweden-terror-attack.html?_r=0

http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/sweden-mourns-killed-15-wounded-stockholm-truck-attack-46699241

http://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3298258/sweden-immigration-stockholm-attack-truck-terror-asylum-seeker-rakhmat-akilov/

http://www.pewglobal.org/2016/08/02/appendix-a-asylum-applications-1985-through-2015/

Indiana University’s School of Global and International Studies hosts America’s Role in the World Conference

April 7, 2017
by

On March 29th and 30th Indiana University’s School of Global and International Studies hosted the 2017 Conference on America’s Role in the World. Students, faculty, and the public were invited to attend a number of panels pertaining to various issues in geopolitics facing the new president. The Convenors of the conference were Richard G. Lugar, former republican senator from Indiana, Lee H. Hamilton, former representative from Indiana, and Lee Feinstein, the Dean of SGIS and former ambassador to Poland.

There were seven panels throughout the two-day conference. Some of the topics discussed were the rising tide of anti-democratic means of governance, relations with Russia, conflict in the Middle East, Nuclear proliferation, and Indiana’s role in the world. The panelists fielded questions at the end of each session, giving participants of the conference an opportunity to interact with some of the foremost minds in American foreign policy today. Attendees also had the option on both days to attend an engagement lunch for a Q&A session with various experts.

The opportunity to hear speakers such as Roger Cohen of The New York Times, former ambassador to NATO Ivo Daalder, Indiana governor Eric Holcomb, among others proved an invaluable experience to young students in SGIS who want to go on and make their mark in the world. Some of the speakers at the conference were also Indiana graduates. Marie Harf graduated from Indiana with a degree in Political Science with concentrations in Jewish Studies and Russian and East European Studies. Harf has held a wide variety of positons in Washington. Notably, she was Associate Policy Director on former president Barrack Obama’s 2012 re-election campaign. Harf currently serves as a Fox News contributor. Adam Hitchcock, another Hoosier, is a managing director at Guggenheim Partners in Chicago, Illinois. Prior to that, Hitchcock also worked in the Obama administration, as the chief of staff of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. Both Harf and Hitchcock reflected positively on their days in Bloomington, and encouraged current students to take on leadership roles while at IU.

The event will undoubtedly help raise the profile of Indiana’s School of Global and International Studies, founded in 2012. For many panelists it was their first time in Bloomington, and they made sure to note how lucky we, as students, are to study at such a great university.

For more on the conference:

https://news.iu.edu/stories/2017/03/iub/releases/31-inc-americas-role-in-the-world-convergence.html

https://news.iu.edu/stories/2017/03/iub/31-inc-governor-holcomb-interview-mcrobbie.html

https://news.iu.edu/stories/2017/03/iub/30-inc-lugar-hamilton-convene-conference.html

The End of Central European University?

March 31, 2017
by

 

facadevegel

CEU

Central European University located in Budapest, Hungary was the creation of Hungarian philanthropist George Soros. The university was founded in 1991 after the revolution that led to a transition from communism in Central and Eastern Europe. The university’s primary mission is to provide the “pursuit of truth wherever it leads, respect for the diversity of cultures and peoples, and commitment to resolve differences through debate not denial.” CEU is known as being one of the most densely international universities in the world with students and staff from more than 130 countries. Its mix of nationalities, ethnicities, and cultures provides for a truly open environment in which to explore topics that have a global impact.

soros:orban

Reuters/AFP

Recent amendments proposed by the FIDESZ led government to the Hungarian higher education laws, may initiate an end to the internationally recognized university. Current CEU President and Rector Michael Ignatieff stated that the University’s dismantling, “would damage Hungarian academic life […].” Moreover, the closure would negatively impact the government’s relations with its fellow European Union members and the United States. The legislation’s primary target appears to be CEU and institutions that promote liberal values. Much backlash from the academic world has emerged as scholars have taken to social media to express their discontent with the Hungarian government’s actions, and to show their support for the university. Prime Minister Viktor Orban, himself a Soros scholarship recipient, has been quite critical of Hungarian-born philanthropist George Soros. Orban has consistently accused Soros of wanting to have an influence on Hungarian politics and supporting migration into Europe.

Some of the provisions of the amendment to the Hungarian higher education law will make it difficult for CEU to deliver its various programs and issue degrees. According to Ignatieff the amendment may force the university out of Hungary. Around 26 universities in Hungary are targeted by the tabled legislation, with seven of them including CEU, having international founders. Prior to 2004, CEU offered only US-accredited programs, but eventually the Hungarian government and the university’s board in New York reached a compromise. The deal between New York and the Hungarian government allowed CEU to offer Hungarian and US-accredited Masters and PhD degrees. CEU’s record of academic excellence over its 25 years of existence appears threatened. The university receives more European Research Council (ERC) grants than any other university in Hungary or in the region. Forcing CEU and other universities out of Hungary will be detrimental to both Hungarian and European interests, thus hindering academic competitiveness.

istandwithceucarousel

CEU 

CEU students and staff have united to seek support from other universities domestically and abroad. However, the recent protest is occurring at a time of deteriorating relations between the recently elected US President Donald Trump and CEU’s founder Soros. Prime Minister Orban, a staunch Trump supporter, was once an ally of Soros following the immediate fall of communism in Hungary. Orban won a scholarship sponsored by Soros to study at Oxford University, but has striven to close NGOs partially funded by Soros. CEU was meant to provide a glimmer of hope in the aftermath of the communism period. What the future holds for CEU’s continued existence, only time will tell.

Russian Hacking Causing Fears Throughout European Upcoming Elections

March 8, 2017
by

Untitled.png

A declassified report, released by the United States intelligence community in January disclosed that Russian-backed hackers meddled with the US elections and stated that this tactic to hack and influence elections and politics is not a new tactic. Subsequently, this report has put Europe on high alert as many important countries including the Netherlands, France, and Germany all have upcoming elections.

The strategy to delegitimize governments through disinformation, to increase its sphere of influence is not new to Russia. In fact, this approach has transcended the Cold War to today; additionally, one could make the argument that social media and the internet have allowed the Russians to become much more aggressive on this front. The name of the game is disinformation, and Russia is one of the best at this game.

In the Netherlands, the fear of Russian hacking in their upcoming elections have spread so far that the Dutch, an incredibly tech-savvy country, have decided to scale back the use of computers to count votes and will rely instead on a manual count system. Leading this decision was Interior Minister Ronald Plasterk who stated: “I don’t want a shadow of doubt over the result in a political climate like the one we know today.” Despite these precautions, the argument could be made that this is exactly what Russia wants: disinformation throughout a targeted country which in turn leads to those questioning the political stability and legitimacy of said country.

In France, it was found that Marie La Pen, the leader of a far-right national party, had taken a €11 million loan from a Russian bank to support her campaign. Like President Trump, who, along with many of his staff members has business ties in Russia, she is at the risk of being blackmailed by Russia to promote friendlier policies towards Russia. Another French politician, Emmanuel Macron, is a target of Russia’s “fake news.” His campaign has received thousands of cyber attacks, and inaccurate stories of him and his past have been spread throughout Russian-backed news outlets. The personal attacks became so bad that Macron was forced to make public statements to reassure his supporters that American banks were not funding him and that he was not having an affair. These attacks, while untrue and frankly petty, have proved to be incredibly harmful to many candidates throughout the World.

In Germany, Hans-Georg Maaßen, the head of the Federal Office for Protection of the Constitution, released a two-page report, which stated that the goal of Russia is to create uncertainty in the political system in Germany and to sow seeds of doubt throughout society. Additionally, many intelligence experts agree that of the three countries briefly discussed here, Germany is the prime target, specifically Angela Merkel. Germany’s position in the world, the dominant role they play in the European Union, is a prime target for Russia as delegitimizing Germany could potentially prove to be a devastating blow to the European Union.

Cyber attacks like these are hard to defend, hard to counter, thus making them a top priority for Russian officials in their goal of spreading their sphere of influence throughout regions of the world.

http://www.france24.com/en/20161230-eu-elections-2017-le-pen-fillon-wilders-immigration-france-germany-netherlands

http://www.politico.eu/article/europe-russia-hacking-elections/

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2017/01/09/russia-engineered-election-hacks-europe/96216556/

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-election-cyber-idUSKBN15S192

http://www.politico.eu/article/dutch-election-news-russian-hackers-netherlands/

http://www.commdiginews.com/politics-2/diplomatic-hysteria-over-hacks-hacking-over-russian-hacking-76017/

Journalist’s Arrest Further Sours German-Turkish Relations

March 2, 2017
by

tutuklanan-gazeteci-deniz-yucel-almanya-meclisi-ne-tasiniyor-251004-5

 

Turkish officials detained journalist Deniz Yücel on February 14th, 2017. The 43-year-old journalist, who holds both German and Turkish citizenship, writes for the German newspaper Die Welt. Turkish authorities charged Yücel with inciting hatred and spreading terrorist propaganda.

Yücel was arrested after reporting on hacking within the cabinet of Turkey, specifically on private emails of Turkey’s Energy Minister, Berat Albayrak. Albayrak is the son-in-law of Turkish president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

In the past Yücel has been critical of the current Turkish government’s treatment of the Kurdish minority. The government has accused him of supporting the PKK (Kurdistan Workers’ Party), which is considered a terror group in Turkey.

Yücel’s arrest comes during a time of massive crackdowns on the media by the Turkish government following last summer’s coup attempt. However, Yücel is the first German journalist to be arrested. Outside experts have labeled the move as an intimidation attempt toward foreign media attempting to report on Turkey.

The prominent German-Turkish politician Cem Ödzemir led protesters in front of the Turkish embassy in Berlin. There is a trending movement across Germany dedicated to bringing light to the issue, characterized by the #FreeDeniz hashtag. Many across the political spectrum have criticized Merkel’s lack of response or concrete action, including the Greens, Die Linke, and the AfD.

This event is the latest in a string of events that have put a heavy strain on German-Turkish relations. In 2016, the German comedian Jan Böhmermann made satirical jokes regarding Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The Turkish government responded by demanding the criminal prosecution of Böhmermann.

Germany is home of a large Turkish diaspora, estimated at over 2 million. Turkish politicians have taken to campaigning in Germany due to the high number of people holding dual citizenship and eligible to vote in Turkish elections and referendums. German politicians have been speaking out in increasing numbers against the rallies and campaign events of Turkish officials in Germany, citing the illiberal trends and general hypocrisy of the Erdogan-led government.

There is also the refugee deal in place between Turkey and the European Union, which helped suppress the flow of refugees into Germany.

Turkey has long been in talks to join the EU. However, accession talks have gone cold in recent years as Turkey trends further and further toward illiberalism.